Popularity Prediction for Social Media over Arbitrary Time Horizons
Daniel Haimovich, Dima Karamshuk, Thomas Leeper, Evgeniy Riabenko, Milan Vojnovic
ArXiv PrePrint
The conventional classification schemes — notably multinomial logistic regression — used in conjunction with convolutional networks (convnets) are classical in statistics, designed without consideration for the usual coupling with convnets, stochastic gradient descent, and backpropagation. In the specific application to supervised learning for convnets, a simple scale-invariant classification stage turns out to be more robust than multinomial logistic regression, appears to result in slightly lower errors on several standard test sets, has similar computational costs, and features precise control over the actual rate of learning. “Scale-invariant” means that multiplying the input values by any nonzero scalar leaves the output unchanged.
Daniel Haimovich, Dima Karamshuk, Thomas Leeper, Evgeniy Riabenko, Milan Vojnovic
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