Popularity Prediction for Social Media over Arbitrary Time Horizons
Daniel Haimovich, Dima Karamshuk, Thomas Leeper, Evgeniy Riabenko, Milan Vojnovic
Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work and Social Computing (CSCW)
Social ties form the bedrock of the global economy and international political order. Understanding the nature of these ties is thus a focus of social science research in fields including economics, sociology, political science, geography, and demography. Yet prior empirical studies have been constrained by a lack of granular data on the interconnections between individuals; most existing work instead uses indirect proxies for international ties such as levels of international trade or air passenger data. In this study, using several billion domestic and international Facebook friendships, we explore in detail the relationship between international social ties and human mobility. Our findings suggest that long-term migration accounts for roughly 83% of international ties on Facebook. Migrants play a critical role in bridging international social networks.
Daniel Haimovich, Dima Karamshuk, Thomas Leeper, Evgeniy Riabenko, Milan Vojnovic
Carole-Jean Wu, Ramya Raghavendra, Udit Gupta, Bilge Acun, Newsha Ardalani, Kiwan Maeng, Gloria Chang, Fiona Aga Behram, James Huang, Charles Bai, Michael Gschwind, Anurag Gupta, Myle Ott, Anastasia Melnikov, Salvatore Candido, David Brooks, Geeta Chauhan, Benjamin Lee, Hsien-Hsin S. Lee, Bugra Akyildiz, Max Balandat, Joe Spisak, Ravi Jain, Mike Rabbat, Kim Hazelwood
Jungdam Won, Deepak Gopinath, Jessica Hodgins